资料：Largeindustrializedarenowin-名校题库网

资料：Large industrialized are now in a recession. What are the prospects for economic recovery?

The three most important industrial economies in the world are, at the moment, facing enormous problems. Germany is struggling with the cost of reunification and is in recession. Japan is also experiencing recession and the United States has a large budget deficit.

Forecasters and analysts face questions about the prospects of an economic recovery. Here are some of their findings:

The election of a new president of the United States gave hope to the rest of the world. If the US recovered, the rest of the world would face a more promising future. However, analysts now accept that the US will only recover very slowly.

Consumer and investor confidence is still lacking. Large deficits and declining short-term interest rates mean there is little scope for economic stimulus.

The Japanese economy, after years of trade and budget surpluses, is in deep recession and the growth rate has slowed down considerably. German economists have lowered their forecasts for economic growth this year. The lowering of German interest rates may bring some relief to other members of the European Exchange Rate Mechanism （ERM）. However, Germany's importance as Europe's largest export market may decline.

However, in some parts of the world, there are more positive signs, particularly in some Latin American countries in South-East Asia. Analysts says that, as long as the rate of interest stays above the rate of growth at national income, then the ratio of debt to income will get worse. Falling interest rates help towards overcoming this problem. They believe it may take several years before there is real recovery. However, advances in technology are offering hope for the world economy.

It could be implied that rising of the interest rate ______.

A.can help towards overcoming this problem about the ratio of debt to income
B.may lead Germany's importance as Europe’s largest export market to decline
C.may bring some relief to other members of the European Exchange Rate Mechanism
D.None of above

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答案： D

本题解析：

本题考查的是推理判断。

【关键词】can be implied;the rising of the interest rate

【主题句】

第6自然段The lowering of German interest rates may bring some relief to other members of the European Exchange Rate Mechanism （ERM）. However, Germany’s importance as Europe’s largest export market may decline. 德国利率降低会给其他欧洲汇率机制成员国带来一些安慰，然而，德国作为欧洲最大的出口市场，其重要性会有所下降。

第7自然段Analysts says that, as long as the rate of interest stays above the rate of growth at national income, then the ratio of debt to income will get worse. Falling interest rates help towards overcoming this problem. 分析师说，只要利率保持在国民收入增长率之上，债务收入比就会变糟。利率减少才会帮助克服这一问题。

【解析】本题意为“根据推断，利率上涨会____?”

选项A意为“能帮助解决债务收入比问题”；选项B意为“可能导致作为欧洲最大出口市场的德国重要性下降”；选项C意为“可能会给其他欧洲汇率机制成员国带来一些安慰”；选项D意为“以上皆不”，根据主题句，利率下降才能出现选项A、B、C情况，因此选项D符合题意。