资料:Rahul Chadha, co-chief investment officer for Hong Kong-based Mirae Asset Global Investments, has a few charts he is particularly fond of when it comes to telling a story about investing in China.
One shows income growth in China. Based on the current rate of expansion, he expects the world's second-biggest economy will achieve high income status — defined as income of almost $12,500 per capita — in eight years.The second shows a ratio of household debt to gross domestic product for a number of countries. For thrifty mainland China households, the ratio is 28 per cent. That compares to India at one end of the scale at 15 per cent and the UK at the other with 90 per cent.
So, based on their income and potential to borrow, the Chinese have spending power and the potential to increase it. The growing muscle of Chinese consumers is not, of course, a new investment theme when it comes to Asia. But at a time when wage growth is muted in other large economies, such as the US and the Eurozone, the situation in China is surprisingly overlooked rather than celebrated. Disposable income per household in China rose 7.3 per cent in real terms in the first half of this year. That surpasses the 6.9 per cent pace at which the economy expanded in the period. Moreover, the number of jobs created in urban areas came in at 8.55m in the first seven months of 2017, according to data from JPMorgan, not too far from the year-end target of 11m. In sharp contrast, India is generating roughly 1m jobs a year at a time when it needs to fashion 10 times more to absorb the youth streaming in from the countryside in search of a better living.
It's not just the level of income that is improving in China. Its distribution is too. The government is spending more on a social safety net, and provides more by way of pensions and medicines, including medical care and education.“In a way this is catch up,” Haibin Zhu, chief China economist at JPMorgan, says of the income growth in China. “In a way it reflects the fact that the working age population is declining. But for the past 10 years income is going up for the majority of people steadily and gradually.”
It's an especially notable achievement given that some of the other forces at work in the Chines economy are far from helpful. The expansion of the sharing economy and ever growing role of technology across most sectors is ultimately deflationary. Automation is increasingly displacing manufacturing jobs. At the same time, sophisticated computers are now eliminating low end service jobs.
As investors survey the effects of income growth, it is the new economy, with its emphasis on services and consumption, and private companies in it, that are the beneficiaries as they cater to the appetites of a growing middle class. Mr Chadha, for example, is a fan of companies such as Ctrip, an online travel app, healthcare, insurers such as Ping An, (rather than the state owned behemoths) and internet and e-commerce firms. Ctrip for example has 75 per cent market share in online travel.
Which of the following statement is false?
本题考查细节理解。
【关键词】the following statement; false
【主题句】
第2自然段Based on the current rate of expansion, he expects the world’s second-biggest economy will achieve high income status — defined as income of almost $12,500 per capita — in eight years. 根据目前的增长速度,他预测世界第二大经济体将在8年后达到高收入级别,人均收入近1.25万美元。
第4自然段It’s not just the level of income that is improving in China. Its distribution is too. 在中国,不只是收入水平得到改善,收入分配也在改善。
In a way it reflects the fact that the working age population is declining. 从某种程度上,这反映出工作年龄人口在减少。
第6自然段Mr Chadha, for example, is a fan of companies such as Ctrip,an online travel app, healthcare, insurers such as Ping An, (rather than the state owned behemoths) and internet and e-commerce firms. Ctrip for example has 75 per cent market share in online travel. 例如,查达钟爱在线旅游应用携程(Ctrip)等公司、医疗公司、平安等保险公司(而非国有保险巨头)以及互联网和电商集团。携程占有75%的在线旅行市场份额。
【解析】题干意为“下列哪一项是错误的?” 选项A意为“过去十年中国劳动力在增长”;选项B意为“互联网公司从经济增长中获益良多”;选项C意为“中国政府为人民提高社会福利”;选项D意为“八年后中国人均收入达到近1.25万美元”。根据主题句,选项B、C、D符合题意,故选A。
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由此可推断出()
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以上陈述的事实最有力地支持了以下哪项假说?()










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