资料:Rahul Chadha, co-chief investment officer for Hong Kong-based Mirae Asset Global Investments, has a few charts he is particularly fond of when it comes to telling a story about investing in China.
One shows income growth in China. Based on the current rate of expansion, he expects the world's second-biggest economy will achieve high income status — defined as income of almost $12,500 per capita — in eight years.The second shows a ratio of household debt to gross domestic product for a number of countries. For thrifty mainland China households, the ratio is 28 per cent. That compares to India at one end of the scale at 15 per cent and the UK at the other with 90 per cent.
So, based on their income and potential to borrow, the Chinese have spending power and the potential to increase it. The growing muscle of Chinese consumers is not, of course, a new investment theme when it comes to Asia. But at a time when wage growth is muted in other large economies, such as the US and the Eurozone, the situation in China is surprisingly overlooked rather than celebrated. Disposable income per household in China rose 7.3 per cent in real terms in the first half of this year. That surpasses the 6.9 per cent pace at which the economy expanded in the period. Moreover, the number of jobs created in urban areas came in at 8.55m in the first seven months of 2017, according to data from JPMorgan, not too far from the year-end target of 11m. In sharp contrast, India is generating roughly 1m jobs a year at a time when it needs to fashion 10 times more to absorb the youth streaming in from the countryside in search of a better living.
It's not just the level of income that is improving in China. Its distribution is too. The government is spending more on a social safety net, and provides more by way of pensions and medicines, including medical care and education.“In a way this is catch up,” Haibin Zhu, chief China economist at JPMorgan, says of the income growth in China. “In a way it reflects the fact that the working age population is declining. But for the past 10 years income is going up for the majority of people steadily and gradually.”
It's an especially notable achievement given that some of the other forces at work in the Chines economy are far from helpful. The expansion of the sharing economy and ever growing role of technology across most sectors is ultimately deflationary. Automation is increasingly displacing manufacturing jobs. At the same time, sophisticated computers are now eliminating low end service jobs.
As investors survey the effects of income growth, it is the new economy, with its emphasis on services and consumption, and private companies in it, that are the beneficiaries as they cater to the appetites of a growing middle class. Mr Chadha, for example, is a fan of companies such as Ctrip, an online travel app, healthcare, insurers such as Ping An, (rather than the state owned behemoths) and internet and e-commerce firms. Ctrip for example has 75 per cent market share in online travel.
The third paragraph tells that ( )
本题考查细节理解。
【关键词】the third paragraph; tells that
【主题句】第3自然段
But at a time when wage growth is muted in other large economies, such as the US and the Eurozone, the situation in China is surprisingly overlooked rather than celebrated. 但是,在美国和欧元区等其他大型经济体工资增长放缓的时期,中国的情况令人惊讶地被忽视,而不是被人们庆祝。
So, based on their income and potential to borrow, the Chinese have spending power and the potential to increase it. 所以,根据他们的收入和借贷潜力,中国人有消费能力和增加消费的潜力。
Moreover, the number of jobs created in urban areas came in at 8.55m in the first seven months of 2017, according to data from JPMorgan, not too far from the year-end target of 11m. 此外,根据摩根大通的数据,2017年前七个月城镇地区创造的就业人数达到了855万人,与年终目标1100万人距离不远。
In sharp contrast, India is generating roughly 1m jobs a year at a time when it needs to fashion 10 times more to absorb the youth streaming in from the countryside in search of a better living.
与之形成鲜明对比的是,印度每年创造大约100万个就业机会,而此时它需要10倍工作机会来吸纳从农村流入寻求更好的生活的青年。
【解析】题干意为“根据第3段,可以推断____”。选项A意为“中国实现全年新增1100万工作岗位的目标并不困难”,符合题意;选项B意为“印度有足够的职位空缺来吸引来自农村的年轻人”;选项 C意为“发达经济体的收入增长高”;选项D意为“更多的中国人将会借钱增加购买力”。选项B、C、D与主题句不符,故选项A符合题意。
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